The “blue wave is coming”, or so Democrats would have you believe. Much like in 2010, Democrats view State House seats as pickup opportunities you never would have envisioned in the years prior.
Tomorrow’s special election for Alabama State District 21 probably isn’t one of those opportunities.
Republican Rex Reynolds is taking on Democrat Terry Jones to see who replaces the late Jim Patterson, a two-term Republican from Huntsville. If Democrats want to win this race, this flier I received from California, of all places, can’t really help:
Why this matters: The 2018 midterms are more than likely going to be a reverse 2010. Democrats will pick up a lot of Republican seats, maybe they take the U.S. House of Representatives, and maybe they flip some state Houses as well. Democrats have been successful in winning a few Republican seats, but more importantly for them, they have been performing well in safe Republican districts.
If they pick those off in November, say “hello” to Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi.
The details:
— A recent report by the Brennan Center for Justice, indicated that Democrats need to win by 11 points nationally to take back the House.
— The Democrat lead on the generic ballot for Congressional control has been as big as 15 points, but sits at six points in current polling.
— In 2010, the year of the Tea Party, Republicans held a six point lead on Democrats and took back the House after winning 63 seats.
— In spite of the predictions for a bad year for Republicans nationally, State Senate Pro Tem Del Marsh has predicted Republicans will pick up seats in Alabama.
Dale Jackson hosts a daily radio show from 7-11 a.m. on NewsTalk 770 AM/92.5 FM WVNN and a weekly television show, “Guerrilla Politics,” on WAAY-TV, both in North Alabama. Follow him @TheDaleJackson.
