Alabama football fans are rooting hard for this famous statistician

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November 23, 2014

Anything related to the College Football Playoff is interesting, especially things that are quantifiable.

FiveThirtyEight editor and statistical oracle Nate Silver gives Alabama the highest chance to not only make the playoff, but to win the national championship.

As it currently stands — of course this is before the Iron Bowl and SEC Championship — Silver’s data states Alabama has an 80.8 percent chance of making the playoff, a 48.6 percent chance of reaching the final game, and a 27.2 percent chance of being crowned champion. Alabama also has a 58.2 percent chance of being the No. 1 overall seed in the playoff bracket based on Silver’s simulations.

It isn’t a large statistical lead for the Crimson Tide, with Oregon holding a 24.5 percent chance of winning it all, but Alabama is in the lead and has been since beating Mississippi State.

Here’s the entire graph from FiveThirtyEight.

Silver rose to national fame by successfully predicting the results of the presidential race in every state in the country. Tide fans are no doubt rooting for Silver’s accuracy to continue.

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