Alabama political leaders and opinion-makers offer their election predictions

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November 2, 2020

(Pixabay, Sean Ross, Dale Jackson, John Merrill, Robert Aderholt/Facebook, Mo Brooks/Flickr, @Jeff_Poor/Twitter, YHN)

On Tuesday, America will vote in what we have been told is “the most important election of our lifetimes,” so we all better hope for a good outcome!

This, of course, has been repeated for every presidential election I have ever voted in from 2000 on, and a month from now we will be told that 2022 is the most important election ever.

Great.

This election is almost over, and the counting is about to start, so I reached out to various lawmakers and opinion leaders in Alabama to find out what they think we will happen,

Here is what I asked:

Electoral vote total between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden

Who wins out of U.S. Senator Doug Jones (D-AL) and former Auburn head coach Tommy Tuberville

Give me one wild prediction that might come true

My predictions
1. Biden 290 – Trump 248
2. Tuberville 57% – Jones 43%
3. Trump wins FL/NC/AZ/PA, wins the Electoral College vote, but loses popular vote by 10 million.

U.S. Representative Mo Brooks (R-Huntsville)
1. Trump 279 – Biden 259
2. Tuberville 57.5% – Jones 42.5%
3. Biden wins with 350 Electoral Votes votes to Trump’s 188.

U.S. Representative Robert Aderholt (R-Haleyville)
1. Trump 306 – Biden 232
2. Tuberville 60% – Jones 40%
3. Trump wins Electoral College and popular vote.

Alabama State Senator Sam Givhan (R-Madison)
1. Trump 292 – Biden 246
2. Tuberville 56% – Jones 44%
3. GOP comes within three votes of taking the House.

Alabama State Representative Andrew Sorrell (R-Florence)
1. Trump 278 – Biden 260
2. Tuberville 56% – Jones 44%
3. Trump flips New Hampshire and its four electoral votes put him over the top Tuesday night. It’s in the realm of possibility, but it would take a miracle.

Sean Ross – Editor-in-chief of Yellowhammer News
1). Trump 289 – Biden 249
2). Tuberville 59% – Jones 41%
3). Trump loses Georgia and still wins the Electoral College.

Jay Holland – Yellowhammer Radio News Network anchor
1. Trump 301 – Biden 237
2. Tuberville 62% – Jones 38%
3. Republicans keep the Senate and flip the House.

Jeff Poor – Host of “The Jeff Poor Show” on FM Talk in Mobile and Yellowhammer News
1. Biden 279 – Trump 259
2, Tuberville 60% – Jones 40%
3. Martha McSally wins AZ, Trump wins NV

Michael Yaffee – Co-host of “WVNN Afternoons with Yaffee and LT”
1. Trump 272 – Biden 266
2. Tuberville 55% – Jones 45%
3. It ends up being a tie at 269 and goes to the House to decide.

LT – Co-host of “WVNN Afternoons with Yaffee and LT”
1. Biden 350 – Trump 188
2. Tuberville 54% – Jones 46%
3. Biden wins Florida and Georgia.

Matt Murphy – Co-host of “Matt and Aunie” on Talk 99.5 in Birmingham
1. Trump 296 – Biden 242
2. Tuberville 58% – Jones 42%
3. Trump wins Wisconsin, Arizona and Minnesota, pushing him beyond the 306 he won in 2016. Liberals burn America.

Richard Dixon – Host of the “Richard Dixon Show” on Talk 99.5 in Birmingham
1. Trump 330 – Biden 208
2. Tuberville 58% – Jones 42%
3. Trump wins MN for the first time since Nixon in 72, and barely loses Washington State!

Jacob Morrison – Labor activist and host of “The Valley Labor Report” on WVNN in Huntsville
1. Biden 310 – Trump 228
2. Tuberville 55% – Jones 45%
3. Biden wins TX.

Shannon Moore – Host of “Politics and Moore” on WVNN in Huntsville
1. Trump 284 – Biden 253
2. Tuberville 59% – Jones 41%
3. The election may be so close that it winds up before the Supreme Court either way through some ballot controversy.

Lisa Handback – Co-host of “Alabama Politics This Week”
1. Biden 319 – Trump 219
2. Tuberville 52% – Jones 48%
3. Jones wins reelection.

Jay Town – Former U.S. Attorney and current Trump surrogate
1. Trump 304 – Biden 234
2. Tuberville 57% – Jones 43%
3. Trump wins Electoral College but loses popular vote (probably by 2 million).

Stan McDonald – Campaign chairman for Tommy Tuberville for U.S. Senate
1. Trump wins because he carried Penn and Georgia, NC and Florida….the rest of the blue wall is lost
2. Tuberville 54.5% – Jones 45.5%
3. McSally wins

Will Hampson – Jeff Sessions for U.S. Senate deputy press secretary
1. Trump 288 – Biden 250
2. Tuberville 55% – Jones 45%
3. Tuberville loses Madison County, despite the best efforts of Dale Jackson, and fully solidifies us as a Blue County in the state.

Brad Presnall – Political consultant
1. Trump 288 – Biden 250
2. Tuberville 57% – Jones 43%
3. Trump wins Nevada as an upset but loses the popular vote by 5.5 million

Amy Wasyluka – Former Democratic candidate for Alabama State Senate
1. Biden will win by a small margin.
2. I’m much more guarded about Jones. It’s still possible but there are several factors in this election that weren’t there in 2017 making it less likely.
3. I think we’ll see larger numbers of Democratic Voters in TX than we have since the late 1970s, which could result in flipping the TX state blue.

Dale Jackson is a contributing writer to Yellowhammer News and hosts a talk show from 7-11 AM weekdays on WVNN.

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